Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.345786 4.529605e-01 0.570033 0.705533 0.856347 1.017578 1.201579
2025-08-17 0.168163 2.968198e-01 0.456514 0.659190 0.901409 1.175060 1.501743
2025-08-24 0.081033 2.023341e-01 0.373706 0.608658 0.904519 1.251320 1.677043
2025-08-31 0.037731 1.478210e-01 0.327137 0.590918 0.937607 1.355557 1.879099
2025-09-07 0.017134 1.171289e-01 0.304976 0.598045 0.995992 1.485551 2.107469
2025-09-14 0.004605 8.788562e-02 0.277002 0.591572 1.032908 1.586458 2.298898
2025-09-21 0.000056 6.154180e-02 0.245594 0.574703 1.052265 1.662779 2.458397
2025-09-28 NaN 5.565956e-02 0.250876 0.612229 1.144531 1.830642 2.729510
2025-10-05 NaN 5.310920e-02 0.262150 0.658764 1.249082 2.014213 3.020145
2025-10-12 NaN 4.810156e-02 0.266536 0.693625 1.337091 2.176498 3.284569
2025-10-19 NaN 4.875542e-02 0.284054 0.749946 1.455371 2.377997 3.597901
2025-10-26 NaN 4.564067e-02 0.291492 0.789303 1.549602 2.548461 3.872847
2025-11-02 NaN 3.512681e-02 0.278411 0.795930 1.600880 2.668258 4.091609
2025-11-09 NaN 1.787339e-02 0.235733 0.747856 1.571825 2.682742 4.179121
2025-11-16 NaN 6.134868e-03 0.193395 0.693427 1.529048 2.675888 4.236953
2025-11-23 NaN 1.901357e-03 0.171987 0.674510 1.536911 2.734731 4.376486
2025-11-30 NaN 5.893960e-04 0.164552 0.682124 1.584615 2.846885 4.583868
2025-12-07 NaN 1.029462e-08 0.150970 0.675192 1.608902 2.926742 4.749500
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.133437 0.657094 1.614345 2.980052 4.880374
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.141696 0.697327 1.712857 3.161613 5.177416
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.154065 0.747112 1.826801 3.364624 5.502467
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.160961 0.784336 1.920697 3.540092 5.791990
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.177780 0.844359 2.051188 3.766169 6.147268